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UP set to lose Rs 3,000 crore

As UP gears up for the new value added tax (VAT) regime from January 1, the Mayawati government is concerned about its impact on the economy.

This is because the tax recovery is already down by 20 to 25 per cent during the past nine months. And this is likely to be plummeted substantially under the new system, which is being enforced in the last quarter of this financial year when the maximum tax recovery is reaped.



 

In fact, this is the cost for the delay, as the three-year deadline set by the Centre for compensating for the loss under the VAT, is due to end this financial year.

However, CM Mayawati seems to have a different idea. If sources are to be believed, she might seek yet another special compensation package for UP or make it an issue against the Congress-led Centre. So the VAT loss of the state may become yet another bone of contention between the Congress and the ruling BSP in the state.

The projected loss, according to a rough estimate, may be well over Rs 3,000 crore this year. This means the revenue target of Rs 28,437.56 crore set for this financial year, seems to be a distant goal to be achieved. The paucity of resources, would thus adversely affect the sustainability of the annual plan, which has been pegged at an all time high at Rs 25,000 crore this year.

However, the VAT regime may come as a mixed bag. While the government pins hope on 33 services proposed to be incorporated for taxation at the rate of 12 per cent for the first time, consumers hope to save money on eatables, including cooked meals, at their favourite joints and restaurants.

This is possible as 12.5% trade tax imposed on the cooked food at present in the state, might have to be slashed under the VAT regime.

Fruit juices, which are taxed 16% at present and items manufactured in the state, are also likely to be cheaper. Similarly, cold drinks, soda water, lemonade and other aerated drinks, which are taxed at the rate of 25%, will be cheaper.

Tax on these drinks will be reduced at least by 50%. This is possible as the VAT regime envisages only four slabs of the tax - 0%, 1%, 4% and 12.5% - in place of 32 slabs enforced under the present system.

So, initially, the VAT will come as a blow to the state exchequer, as it is expected to drastically reduce the tax recovery, which is expected to touch around Rs 18,000 crore mark this year from Rs 14,500 crore of the last year.

In the first year, a major portion of the loss due to VAT will be on account of repayment of taxes on all unsold items, even though they happen to be a carryover stock from the last year. The loss this way is estimated to be well over Rs 600 crore. Then there is a tax on raw materials which will be abolished in the form of set-off. This may cost a loss of around Rs 500 crore to the state exchequer.

Notably, under the VAT regime, the entry tax through which the state annually earns roughly around Rs 550 crore and the development tax that accounts for over Rs 700 crore will be abolished. Apart from this, around 1,900 commodities at present have taxes over 20%.

This will be reduced drastically, as the upper limit fixed under the VAT regime could not be more than 12.5%. The only items kept out of the VAT regime will be alcohol with the highest tax slab of 32.5% and petroleum products with 25% tax at present. Besides, the state will also lose around Rs 85 crore on account of its share in the Central sales tax.

Source : Times of India - India, dated 14/12/2007

 

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