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Spain's Nov budget surplus up but VAT tumbles

Spain's central government budget surplus rose 26 percent in the first 10 months of 2007 as strong income and corporate tax returns made up for a slump in Valued Added Tax (VAT) returns amid a construction and consumer spending slowdown. 

The January-November central government surplus was 28.2 billion euros ($41.9 billion), equal to 2.7 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), compared with 22.3 billion euros during the year-earlier period, Treasury Secretary Carlos Ocana said on Tuesday. 



 

Central government net tax revenues rose 11.3 percent to 184.3 billion euros in the 10 months to October, due to a 20 percent jump in corporate tax revenues and a 15.5 percent rise in income tax returns. 

But growth in VAT returns, which provide over a quarter of central government income, fell to 1.1 percent from a previously reported 9.1 percent a year earlier as property firms forecast a 40-percent fall in 2007 house sales and consumer confidence hit a historic low. 

"This slowdown is centered around the VAT from small and medium-sized firms in the construction sector and services," Ocana said during a Congressional briefing. This would imply that Spanish consumers are still buying with gusto, something which might be confirmed on Wednesday when retail sales data is released. Ocana said Spain's 2007 public sector surplus -- the sum of central, regional and local government and social security system accounts -- would be around the 2006 result of 1.8 percent of GDP despite a slowdown in economic growth. 

The Bank of Spain has urged the government and political parties not to spend the budget surplus to prop up growth at the end of a construction boom or use it to meet political promises in the 2008 general election. Spanish public spending increased 5.8 percent in the third quarter, a jump the Economy Ministry attributed to local and regional authorities rather than the central government. 

The government forecasts a fall in the public sector surplus to 1.15 percent of GDP in the 2008 budget. 

The Economy Ministry plans will revise down its 2008 growth forecast in December due to the impact of the global liquidity squeeze, but says it will still likely exceed its budget surplus forecast for next year. Ocana said the revision of the current 3.3 percent 2008 growth forecast would be by a tenth of a decimal point. 

"Whether it is 3.3 or 3.2 it will be above 3 percent, it's a reasonable outlook," said Ocana. (Reporting by Andrew Hay; editing by David Christian-Edwards)

Source : Guardian Unlimited - UK, dated 27/11/2007

 

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