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GST: The Good, Bad & Ugly!      

Is it state versus centre or will be the industry be damsel in distress the ultimate face off as India moves go a landmark new tax regime – Goods and Services Tax (GST); the good, the bad and the ugly.



 

Taxation in India is a bit like the wild-wild West, we don’t know who is on whose side and fighting against whom. Two curious events occurred this week. On Wednesday the MET department put out a cyclone warning shutting this 24x7 city down very early, but in fact no cyclone hit Mumbai and it hardly even rained. About the same time the much awaited white paper on GST that is the goods and services tax was released by Asim Dasgupta Chairman of the Empowered Committee of State Finance Ministers and just like the cyclone warning, the white paper too turned out to be a damp squib. It hides more than it reveals – no dates, no lists of low rates or exempt items, no clarity on exemption threshold, key sectors like real estate, petroleum, electricity kept out of GST.

Tax Expert Satya Poddar, Partner at E&Y analyzes this white paper with gray areas while Seshagiri Rao, Joint MD at JSW and Pramod Gupta, CFO at Novartis India explain the impact on corporate India in an exclusive interview on CNBC-TV18’s The Firm.

Here is a verbatim transcript of the interview

Q: To quote some of the comments that you made when the white paper was released. You said the GST designed opted for is a compromise which could prove to be neither good economics, nor good politics. What it reveals is far less than what is missing”. You seem very disappointed, can you break down for me what you consider the good, the bad and the ugly of this white paper?

Poddar: Firstly it’s a good thing that the paper came out because India is impatiently waiting for this GST to happen because it will provide a significant boost the economy. so the good part is that the paper came out but the main problem with the paper is that it only deals with the goods part of the goods and services tax and so to that extent is largely a photocopy of the Value added tax (VAT) we already have in India but the Goods and Services Tax goes beyond goods, it taxes services, it should be taxing real estate and that is where the paper is largely silent or has taken positions which may not be good for the economy or the design for the tax. for example they a have left out real estate completely, they have left out petroleum, they have left out alcohol. On the taxation of services we recognize that it will take time for the rules to be developed but without having those rules we cannot really say what the impact of that tax will be. Again there is no clarity on the rates. The empowered committee paper talks about keeping three rates; one for precious metals like gold and silver, one for essential commodities, one for the rest of the commodities and services.

The main difficulty is that if you have all these exemptions preserved, and low rates preserved, the rates which will apply to commodities will remain same as they are today. They are talking about rate of 8-9% for goods other than those in the low rate brackets but in my view 8-9% may turn out to be too low if they don’t cut back on existing rates and incentives. So that can become ugly because if we impose the tax rate on other commodities, at rates which are currently applicable and shift the central tax on top of it you are talking of standard rate minimum 16% possibly 18-20% and very few countries are able to collect GST type taxes at the retail level at rates of 16-18-20%.

Q: Is rates the only big area for you Mr Rao, I know that there are no specific rates defined but the indications that Mr Poddar is drawing from this are that it could be as high as 18-20%- is that how you read it and if yes what could the implications be?

Rao: If we look at the post announcement of stimulus packages, the rates have come down particularly the excise duty at 8% and the state VAT is in the range of 4-5%. So in that context if you see any rate above 15% appears to be high but pre stimulus package rates if you look at, at that time the excise duty was 14% then the VAT was 4-5%, so in that context when all the rates are getting merged; both state and central taxes. So 16-20% in that context is not very high in my view.

So I don’t fully agree with Mr Poddar’s view; 16-20% may not be prevalent in other countries but in Indian context, taking into account the avenues which government has to generate, that may be an appropriate rate once the government decides to withdraw the stimulus packages.

Q: What would you like to list as the good, the bad and ugly of what you have drawn from this white paper or this gray paper or as some tax experts are calling it this black paper?

Rao: Whatever I could understand from the white paper, if you look at the positives then there are certain taxes earlier which had a cascading impact but once this is implemented like entertainment tax, or set off restrictions which were there earlier which cannot be set off against/as the output tax. Now the possibility of setting out taxes against/as the output taxis possible as per this white paper. Similarly Central Sales Tax (CST) will not be there in future, so again there will be a set off benefit which will come to the companies, so there are 2-3 positives which I am seeing, the cascading impact will significantly get reduced. But at the same time if you look at the other areas where clarity is lacking is the brands transfer and the consignment sales where the companies will do mostly the interstate transactions through branches and consignments agents, it is not yet clear what the rules would be in that context. One more aspect is that in case of wroks contract tax how this treatment would be in the post GST scenario that is also not clear. So, that way there are lots of areas where clarity has to come. But on positive side the cascading impact of these taxes will be lower in the post GST scenario.

Q: So we have one negative view or a critical view to put it honestly from Mr Poddar, a middle of the path view from Mr Rao. Where do you swing in this entire scene?

Gupta: I think given to myself I would much rather prefer a single rate across commodities, services.

Q: But that is not going to happen. The political reality of that is that it is not going be a reality. We knew right from the beginning that we were going to be faced with multiple tax, right?

Gupta: I think in that case it is going lead to something like 16% odd.

Q: Are you comfortable with that the 16-20% which Mr Poddar seems very disappointed with it and Mr Rao has accepted?

Gupta: I think that depends on the sector in which you are in. if the single rate is not possible than things like pharmaceuticals which is life saving and essential commodities. Then 16% starts becoming very high.

Q: So you might be in the nominal rate list but we don’t know which items will come under the nominal rate list?

Gupta: Yes, so that becomes a huge amount of uncertainty for the industry going forward. That sometimes leads to the ugly part where the individual industries will start talking about where do we fall. But at this point of time, the most important thing is that we have a white paper, you may call it a grey paper or any other paper, but we atleast have clarity on the way forward. It is a good starting point. But it is just a starting point.

Q: Many people believe that atleast we have a starting point. We could very well be faced with the outcome or the fact that we are no where close to actually getting this tax off the ground by the deadline that was initially set that is April next year, maybe it will take a full extra financial year for everything to come into place. The IT systems and all of that to come into place for companies to be prepared. Do we have this space in the course of that 10-12 months to be able to rectify some of the issues or do you believe that from a direction point of view itself, this white paper has gotten it wrong. So are we directionally going wrong or is it just that we have a long way to go?

Poddar: The paper is only the position of the State Finance Ministers. The center has not revealed its view as yet. I expect that infact the finance commission chaired by Dr. Kelkar is also working on a draft model for the GST and expectation is that model will be revealed shortly, could be next week or few days away. That has one of the view as to what the GST should look like. Then there will be a debate and hopefully out of that debate will come a consistent draft which reflects the collective view of the center and the states. Without really knowing of what the center is going to do, it is very difficult to say how fast we can move and do we have the time or not because the timing critically depends upon the simplicity of the tax. If you have a very complex structure then even a year is not enough. But if you design the tax to be comprehensive at one or in a very few rates like not more than two, highly harmonized between the center and the states then yes we can move ahead and implement it in 6-12 months time period. Let me just also respond to Mr. Rao’s two comments about cascading. I agree with you that the GST is going to reduce cascading. But by leaving sectors like real estate, petroleum and even alcohol and the natural gas out side the scope of GST, you basically go against the principle of reducing cascading. The construction of real estate is a huge sector in India. All the commercial buildings, factories they buy cements, steel, construction services and they pay the VAT or the CENVAT on those. If those sectors are kept outside then that tax becomes cascading tax. Petroleum whether it is refining, exploration, geological mapping, surveys, all of those activities will attract tax under the GST. If they are kept outside that tax will not be recoverable. It will make India uncompetitive in a global market. For example octroi, by keeping octroi outside again you are creating cascading because octroi applies on many business inputs and investment commodities. So I agree with you that the GST is a good tax because it is going to reduce cascading. But why stop half way. Let’s remove cascading completely.

Q: For your response to what Mr. Poddar has said, also if you could tell me considering that you supply steel to the real estate sector, if they cannot benefit from the ability to offset, which is something that GST gives you. Would it impact you in any fashion as being part of their supply chain?

Rao: No only if we look at before and after the white paper and also the implementation pre and post of GST, will it make any difference if you ask me. Today there is not set off or cenvatibilty. So after implementation if certain sectors are excluded I don’t think it will have an impact. But as Mr. Podar rightly pointed out whether it will have the full impact of GST implementation, it may not have but gradually it may come in. So certain sectors are excluded, maybe for political or strategic reasons or consensuses have not come among all the states. Similarly some purchased tax has been excluded in certain items which they want to keep outside the GST. So there are certain areas where a comprehensive GST has to be introduced including those sectors, items which may take longer time.

Q: Coming to the issue of service tax- the fact that they have not paid adequate attention to services in this white paper does it mean that the – increase also the fact that you are looking at a indicative rate of between 16-20%- does that mean that there is going to be a higher tax burden on services?

Poddar: Definitely the services will be taxable; the paper doesn’t talk about them because the State Finance Ministers don’t really have adequate understanding of taxation of services because historically their domain has been taxation of goods. So they are looking at the center to provide more of guidance on how the services should be brought into the tax net.

Q: So are you expecting that the note that will likely come out of the center or the Kelkar Commission Report in a few weeks from now will tackle this services aspect in a lot more detail?

Poddar: Yes that is my expectation and even empowered committee has got some additional documents prepared on taxation services. So as and when they are released they will provide more guidance on how the services will be taxable. But the important point you raised about the taxation of services at what rate is a critical one because services have to be taxable at the same rate as goods. So even if you put food in a lower rate category, the remaining items where the services get bundled quite often have to be taxed at the same rate as services. now if the standard rate which applies to these goods is like 16-18% then the services have to be taxable at 16-18% and that is a very problematic tax rate to start with in India. Because currently the services are taxable at 10%, now if you jack up the tax rate to 16-18% you have lot of political resistance and that is one more reason why before they go into a two rate structure, they should examine how difficult will it be to bring services into tax net at 16-18%.

Q: Would you like to add anything to that point?

Rao: There is only one indication which I have seen in the white paper that in the case of services there will be a single rate instead of having two lower rate for certain goods and standard goods for certain other goods. In the case of services only one single rate but there is a central service tax and the state service tax. So far on services there is no tax at all from the state. So when the GST comes in services will be taxed even by the state. So both together it can be even within 10% or slightly higher than that but it cannot be like GST. It is a combination of both state and service tax which is significantly higher and there are two rates in the case of goods. If the services as per my understanding of white paper there will be a single rate.

Q: And you are saying that single rate will be lower than the rate that is imposed on goods which could be around 14 or 16% is it?

Rao: Yes that is correct.

Q: Do you agree with that?

Poddar: No the system will fall apart, if you have a separate rate for taxation of services, separate from that for the goods other than the low rate goods. So in my view technical complexities are keeping the service tax rates separate from that applicable to goods, is unworkable.

Q: Your view?

Gupta: I agree that we cannot have a fifth rate; you have an exemption rate, you have a precious metals rate, you have essential commodities rate, you have a nominal rate and now you are talking about a fifth rate. So if you are going to be leaving real estate aside, very large part of inputs of real estate like architectures, developers, contractors etc they are all services. So therefore the amount of cascading you are going to create in the whole thing and those costs are going to come back to either home owners or the other corporate sector.

Q: The other point that I want to bring in that Mr. Rao mentioned it briefly and that is the taxation of things like branch transfers or captive consumption. In large complex companies of yours where you manufacture in one state and ship it out to maybe a company depot in another state. How are you going to able to deal with this because it seems that area is been left unclear?

Gupta: I think it is going to be Mr. Poddar’s delight because E&Y is going to get a lot of revenue out of this whole thing. So I can ask him to double his faults.

Q: I think in the note that you put out you also raise the issue that there is no clarity on the exemption thresholds for small traders both between what the exemption thresholds will be for the center and the state taxes as well as between goods and services. Do you want to quickly tell us how important that detail is?

Poddar: That is very fundamental because infact the clarity that has been put out in a discussion paper is bothered some. They are really saying that there will be threshold of Rs 10 lakh for the state taxation. There will be a threshold of Rs 1.5 crore for the central taxation and yet another threshold for the service taxation. So if you have three taxations thresholds then what you do with the dealers who are dealing in all three products; products which are taxable by the center, services as well as goods. Then you will be registered for one not for other, if that is the case then there is no harmonization between central and state taxation. So if the central and state taxes are not harmonized then again there will be disaster. With the threshold of Rs 1.5 crore for the central GST, you will be leaving lot of people outside of the tax net. Then how can you have a broadening of the base a level playing field and then what is the point of doing it all.

Q: They don’t need to broaden the base, they are hiking the rate to 16% to 18% they will make up for any revenue loss, right?

Poddar: But the rates may have to be much higher that 15% or even 20%, if they keep all the exemptions the way they are right now.

Q: I am told that in Australia it took them 21 months from the time that the first draft was put out to GST actually being able to be fully implemented on ground. Is that how long it is going to take us from this week to actually seeing the fruition of this tax?

Poddar: India is impatient for GST reform. They want it. But they don’t want a mediocre reform. India deserves the best, a flawless GST. I hope that the governments go back to a flawless design that is going to suit the needs of Indian economy.

Rao: There are lots of clarifications, even as it has come out in this discussion which has to come. As it is mentioned it's only a white paper, they are also looking at responses from the industry and the experts. So it will come over a period of time, maybe in the next few weeks and lot of clarity will come in my view.

Gupta: I won't call it a white, grey or black paper, I will call it a concept paper. In a way it does not tell us anything more than what we have been broadly hearing from various groups of people. If I went back to your theme of the good, bad and ugly- it has the potential of being good, it has the potential of being ugly. It depends on how the reforms are being implemented. It has the potential of being the most significant and important reforms in the taxation regime of India but if not implemented well it also has the potential of saddling us ugly taxation regime for a very long time to come.

Source : Moneycontrol.com, India, dated 14/11/2009

 

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